Can we accurately forecast non-elective bed occupancy and admissions in the NHS? A time-series MSARIMA analysis of longitudinal data from an NHS Trust

• Tim Jones,
• Maria Theresa Redaniel,
• Emily Eyles,
• Marion Prat,
• Tim Keen

Affiliations

Tim Jones

2The National Institute for Health Research Applied Research Collaboration West (NIHR ARC West) at University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, UK

Maria Theresa Redaniel

Applied Research Collaboration West (NIHR ARC West), National Institute for Health Research, Bristol, UK

Emily Eyles

The National Institute for Health Research Applied Research Collaboration West (NIHR ARC West) at University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK

Marion Prat

School of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences and Law, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK

Tim Keen

North Bristol NHS Trust, Westbury on Trym, Bristol, UK