LSTMAtU-Net: A Precipitation Nowcasting Model Based on ECSA Module

Abstract

Precipitation nowcasting refers to the use of specific meteorological elements to predict precipitation in the next 0–2 h. Existing methods use radar echo maps and the Z–R relationship to directly predict future rainfall rates through deep learning methods, which are not physically constrained, but suffer from severe loss of predicted image details. This paper proposes a new model framework to effectively solve this problem, namely LSTMAtU-Net. It is based on the U-Net architecture, equipped with a Convolutional LSTM (ConvLSTM) unit with the vertical flow direction and depthwise-separable convolution, and we propose a new component, the Efficient Channel and Space Attention (ECSA) module. The ConvLSTM unit with the vertical flow direction memorizes temporal changes by extracting features from different levels of the convolutional layers, while the ECSA module innovatively integrates different structural information of each layer of U-Net into the channelwise attention mechanism to learn channel and spatial information, thereby enhancing attention to the details of precipitation images. The experimental results showed that the performance of the model on the test dataset was better than other examined models and improved the accuracy of medium- and high-intensity precipitation nowcasting.

Keywords

• precipitation nowcasting
• U-Net architecture
• Convolutional LSTM (ConvLSTM)
• Efficient Channel and Space Attention (ECSA)