Random/Cognitive Hybrid Uncertainty Analysis of Ship Multitasking Cabin Layout

Abstract

Identifying the optimal cabin layout is an important way to improve the efficiency of ship systems and ensure the efficient circulation of personnel and materials. The ship task state refers to the state maintained by the joint actions of ship machinery and equipment, cargo, and personnel when facing different jobs and tasks during operation. A cabin layout that facilitates multitasking states can improve the efficiency of collaboration between systems and ensure the operation of the ship. The demand for human flow and logistics is different in multitasking states. To express the demand in mathematical form, there is a certain random uncertainty in the numerical quantification of the demand. Thus, to better meet the needs of different states, the coefficient values of each state can be integrated using special methods. Ensuring values’ initial preference to the greatest extent inevitably produces a degree of cognitive uncertainty. Therefore, uncertainty analysis is necessary for cabin layout design to be used for multitasking states. In this paper, a deterministic optimization platform of cabin layout in multitasking states is obtained. Adjacent and circulating strength coefficients are obtained through numerical quantization of the demand for human flow and logistics. The random uncertainty in the input values of two coefficients was represented by random variables, and the cognitive uncertainty was represented by interval variables. In order to solve the problem of two types of variables, a random-interval hybrid uncertainty model was established. Through random intervalization and interval randomization, three cases, of random variables, interval variables, and random variables and interval variables, were studied. The probability distribution of the model function was used to evaluate the influence of different compositions of uncertainty parameters on the robustness of the cabin layout scheme. The necessity and effectiveness of uncertainty analysis in multitasking cabin layout are discussed below.

Keywords

• cabin layout
• multitasking states
• uncertainty of input parameters
• random-interval hybrid-uncertainty model
• uncertainty analysis
• robustness evaluation