Applied Sciences (Jul 2024)

One Method for Predicting Satellite Communication Terminal Service Demands Based on Artificial Intelligence Algorithms

  • Lingchao Zeng,
  • Cheng Zhang,
  • Pengfei Qin,
  • Yejun Zhou,
  • Yaxing Cai

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/app14146019
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 14, no. 14
p. 6019

Abstract

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This paper presents a traffic demand prediction method based on deep learning algorithms, aiming to address the dynamic traffic demands in satellite communication and enhance resource management efficiency. Integrating Seq2Seq and LSTM networks, the method improves prediction accuracy and applicability, especially for mobile terminals such as aviation and maritime ones. Unlike traditional approaches, it does not require extensive statistical data and can be generalized to real-world systems, providing stable long-term traffic demand predictions. This study utilizes real-world flight data mapped to corresponding satellite beams, allowing the precise prediction of beam-specific traffic demands. The results show that aggregating historical demand data for beams with similar trends achieves an average predictive Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0007 and a maximum MSE fluctuation of 0.014, significantly outperforming predictions based on average values in terms of stability and accuracy. This novel solution for resource management in satellite communication ensures efficient and accurate long-term traffic demand predictions.

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