Calculation of road reliability based on mathematical theory of reliability

Abstract

The paper presents the mathematical theory of reliability as related to the theory of road reliability. The concepts of “initial reliability” and “durability” are combined in a single algorithm. The presented theoretical method is implemented in two stages: calculation of initial reliability and calculation of durability. This sequence enables analytical calculation at given levels of initial reliability and durability of roads and their elements. It is shown that initial reliability and durability should be calculated separately. This method has proved to be effective in applied sciences dealing with the theory of structural reliability.