Forecasting Building Energy Consumption Using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, Wavelet Transformation, and Long Short-Term Memory Algorithms

Abstract

A building, a central location of human activities, is equipped with many devices that consume a lot of electricity. Therefore, predicting the energy consumption of a building is essential because it helps the building management to make better energy management policies. Thus, predicting energy consumption of a building is very important, and this study proposes a forecasting framework for energy consumption of a building. The proposed framework combines a decomposition method with a forecasting algorithm. This study applies two decomposition algorithms, namely the empirical mode decomposition and wavelet transformation. Furthermore, it applies the long short term memory algorithm to predict energy consumption. This study applies the proposed framework to predict the energy consumption of 20 buildings. The buildings are located in different time zones and have different functionalities. The experiment results reveal that the best forecasting algorithm applies the long short term memory algorithm with the empirical mode decomposition. In addition to the proposed framework, this research also provides the recommendation of the forecasting model for each building. The result of this study could enrich the study about the building energy forecasting approach. The proposed framework also can be applied to the real case of electricity consumption.

Keywords

• energy building
• LSTM
• decomposition
• empirical mode decomposition
• wavelet transformation