Development of Reliability Model for Wind Farm Power Generation

Abstract

The objective of the present paper is to estimate the electric power distribution of a wind farm using the output power distribution and the probability of simultaneously running of wind turbines. In this paper, a methodology for the electric power distribution of a wind turbine, using the characteristic output power-wind and the Weibull distribution of wind speed was given first. The methodology was applied to a region from north-east of Romania, and finally, the analytic distributions were compared to Monte-Carlo simulation.

Keywords

• electric power system
• probability
• wind power generation