A Longitudinal Examination of Post-COVID-19 Mortality in Residents in Long-Term Care Homes

Abstract

The most adverse outcomes of the COVID-19 pandemic include high post-infection mortality among long-term care (LTC) home residents. Research about mortality over a longer period after contracting COVID-19 and in different pandemic years is limited. In the current study, we examined outcomes for 1,596 LTC residents from the day of a positive COVID-19 test until January 31, 2023. We reported all-cause mortality 30 days after contracting COVID-19 and monthly throughout the follow-up, up to 35 months after the pandemic start. We also examined mortality among 2,724 residents residing in the same LTC homes, with no history of COVID-19 during the same period. The results underscored a large number of deaths in the first month post-infection, with 30-day mortality substantially decreasing over the years—from 28% (95% CI [24.3, 31.8]) among residents contracting COVID-19 in 2020, to 8.3% (95% CI [7.4, 9.2]) in the 2022 cohort. Observed over longer periods, monthly mortality among residents with a COVID-19 history was similar to mortality in the No-COVID residents, and no evidence was found of increased mortality risk in the COVID group beyond the first post-infection month. We discuss mortality in LTC during the pandemic and a continuing need to reduce mortality in the acute phase of COVID-19.