iScience (Apr 2024)

Cancer burden attributable to risk factors, 1990–2019: A comparative risk assessment

  • Junjie Hu,
  • Hongliang Dong,
  • Yiming Dong,
  • Runxuan Zhou,
  • Wilhem Teixeira,
  • Xingxing He,
  • Da-Wei Ye,
  • Gang Ti

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 27, no. 4
p. 109430

Abstract

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Summary: An up-to-date comprehensive assessment of the cancer burden attributable to risk factors is essential for cancer prevention. We analyzed the population attributable fraction (PAF) of cancer disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to 11 level 2 risk factors using data from the Global Burden and Disease Study (GBD) 2019. We highlighted that almost half of the cancer DALYs can be preventable by modifying relevant risk factors. The attributable cancer DALYs increased by 60.42%–105.0 million from 1990 to 2019. Tobacco, dietary risks, alcohol use, high body-mass index, and air pollution were the top five risk factors. The PAFs attributable to high fasting plasma glucose, high body-mass index, and low physical activity have increased worldwide from 1990 to 2019. Unsafe sex was the leading risk factor for women before age of 54. Tailored prevention programs targeted at specific populations should be scaled up to reduce the cancer burden in the future.

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