Physics-Informed Neural Networks and Functional Interpolation for Data-Driven Parameters Discovery of Epidemiological Compartmental Models

Abstract

In this work, we apply a novel and accurate Physics-Informed Neural Network Theory of Functional Connections (PINN-TFC) based framework, called Extreme Theory of Functional Connections (X-TFC), for data-physics-driven parameters’ discovery of problems modeled via Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). The proposed method merges the standard PINNs with a functional interpolation technique named Theory of Functional Connections (TFC). In particular, this work focuses on the capability of X-TFC in solving inverse problems to estimate the parameters governing the epidemiological compartmental models via a deterministic approach. The epidemiological compartmental models treated in this work are Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR), Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR), and Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible (SEIRS). The results show the low computational times, the high accuracy, and effectiveness of the X-TFC method in performing data-driven parameters’ discovery systems modeled via parametric ODEs using unperturbed and perturbed data.

Keywords

• Physics-Informed Neural Networks
• functional interpolation
• Theory of Functional Connections
• Extreme Learning Machine
• epidemiological compartmental models
• COVID-19