The Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Carbon Emissions at County Level in the Harbin–Changchun Urban Agglomeration

Abstract

China has clearly put forward the strategic goals of reaching the “Carbon Emission Peak” by 2030, and achieving “Carbon Neutrality” by 2060. To achieve these goals, it is necessary to precisely understand the spatial distribution characteristics of historical carbon emissions in different regions. This paper has selected a representative national-level urban agglomeration in China, the Harbin–Changchun urban agglomeration, to study the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of carbon emissions in its counties. This paper has constructed global and local Moran’s I indexes for the 103 counties in this urban agglomeration by using the carbon emission values reflected by night light data from 1997 to 2017 to perform global and local autocorrelation analysis on a spatial level. The results show that: (1) the main characteristic of carbon emission clustering in the Harbin–Changchun urban agglomeration is similar clustering; (2) the changes in carbon emissions of the Harbin–Changchun urban agglomeration have a strong correlation with relevant policies. For example, due to the impact of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” policies, in 2013, the global county-level Moran’s I index of the carbon emissions in the Harbin–Changchun urban agglomeration decreased by 0.0598; (3) the areas where high carbon emission values cluster together (“High–High Cluster”) and low carbon emission values cluster together (“Low–Low Cluster”) in the Harbin–Changchun urban agglomeration are highly concentrated, and the clusters are closely related to the development level of different regions.

Keywords

• carbon emission peak
• carbon neutrality
• Harbin–Changchun urban agglomeration
• carbon emission
• spatial agglomeration