Ekonomija: teorija i praksa (Jan 2019)
Analysis and prediction of apple production in the Republic of Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina
Abstract
The paper analyzes the parameters of apple production in the Republic of Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina in the period 2006-17. The prediction of apple production parameters for next year was carried out using the linear trend model and moving average. The following parameters were analyzed: harvested area (ha), yield (t/ha) and total production (t). On average, there were 24,760 hectares with apple trees in Serbia and 19.040 hectares in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The average apple yield was 12.7 t/ha in Serbia and 3.43 t/ha in Bosnia and Herzegovina. In the observed period, there was an average tendency of increase in yield by 3.78% per year in Serbia, whereas in Bosnia and Herzegovina, there was a noticeable negative rate, namely a tendency of yield decline by 1.17% on average per year. The average annual apple production in Serbia was 313,177 tons and in the analyzed period there was a tendency of increase in yield by 4,22%. In Bosnia and Herzegovina, the average annual apple production was 65,186 tons and in the analyzed period there was a negative rate of 0.96% i.e. a decline in yield. In the next year, the Republic of Serbia should achieve apple production of 431,305 tons, while Bosnia and Herzegovina is expected to produce 60,657 tons.
