临床预测模型的展现形式

Abstract

摘要： 预测模型是用来预测个体发生目标事件概率或预测结局值的统计模型。预测模型结果可视化展现是开发预测模型全流程中必不可少的一部分。良好的预测模型展现形式不仅可以使预测结果具有更好的可读性、可解释性，也在很大程度上决定了其使用方式和便利性。本文将详细介绍各种预测模型的展现形式，并阐述各自的优缺点。随后结合脑血管病临床预测模型研究，通过研究示例逐一介绍不同展现形式在脑血管病研究中的应用。 Abstract: A prediction model is a statistical model used to predict the probability of an individual with a target event or to predict the outcome value. Visualization of prediction model results is an essential part of the whole process of developing a prediction model. A good presentation of a prediction model can not only make the prediction results more readable and interpretable, but also determine its use and convenience to a large extent. This paper provided a detailed introduction to various forms of prediction model presentation and reported their advantages and disadvantages. Combining clinical prediction model research on cerebrovascular disease, this paper introduced the application of each presentation in cerebrovascular disease research through research examples.

Keywords

• 预测模型
• 展现形式
• 脑血管病
• prediction model
• presentation
• cerebrovascular disease