The Mamba Model: A Novel Approach for Predicting Ship Trajectories

Abstract

To address the complexity of ship trajectory prediction, this study explored the efficacy of the Mamba model, a relatively new deep-learning framework. In order to evaluate the performance of the Mamba model relative to traditional models, which often struggle to cope with the dynamic and nonlinear nature of maritime navigation data, we analyzed a dataset consisting of intricate ship trajectory data. The prediction accuracy and inference speed of the model were evaluated using metrics such as the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The Mamba model not only excelled in terms of the computational efficiency, with inference times of 0.1759 s per batch—approximately 7.84 times faster than the widely used Transformer model—it also processed 3.9052 samples per second, which is higher than the Transformer model’s 0.7246 samples per second. Additionally, it demonstrated high prediction accuracy and the lowest loss among the evaluated models. The Mamba model provides a new tool for ship trajectory prediction, which represents an advancement in addressing the challenges of maritime trajectory analysis when compared to existing deep-learning methods.

Keywords

• ship trajectory prediction
• AIS
• mamba
• transformer