Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease

Yan Niu; Li Luo; Jia Rui; Shiting Yang; Bin Deng; Zeyu Zhao; Shengnan Lin; Jingwen Xu; Yuanzhao Zhu; Yao Wang; Meng Yang; Xingchun Liu; Tianlong Yang; Weikang Liu; Peihua Li; Zhuoyang Li; Chan Liu; Jiefeng Huang; Tianmu Chen

Journal of Safety Science and Resilience (Jun 2021)

Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease

Yan Niu,
Li Luo,
Jia Rui,
Shiting Yang,
Bin Deng,
Zeyu Zhao,
Shengnan Lin,
Jingwen Xu,
Yuanzhao Zhu,
Yao Wang,
Meng Yang,
Xingchun Liu,
Tianlong Yang,
Weikang Liu,
Peihua Li,
Zhuoyang Li,
Chan Liu,
Jiefeng Huang,
Tianmu Chen

Affiliations

Yan Niu: Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China
Li Luo: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Jia Rui: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Shiting Yang: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Bin Deng: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Zeyu Zhao: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Shengnan Lin: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Jingwen Xu: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Yuanzhao Zhu: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Yao Wang: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Meng Yang: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Xingchun Liu: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Tianlong Yang: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Weikang Liu: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Peihua Li: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Zhuoyang Li: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Chan Liu: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Jiefeng Huang: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China
Tianmu Chen: State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China; Corresponding author.

Journal volume & issue: Vol. 2, no. 2
pp. 63 – 68

Abstract

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Control measures during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak may have limited the spread of infectious diseases. This study aimed to analyze the impact of COVID-19 on the spread of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in China. A mathematical model was established to fit the reported data of HFMD in six selected cities in mainland China from 2015 to 2020. The absolute difference (AD) and relative difference (RD) between the reported incidence in 2020, and simulated maximum, minimum, or median incidence of HFMD in 2015–2019 were calculated. The incidence and Reff of HFMD have decreased in six selected cities since the outbreak of COVID-19, and in the second half of 2020, the incidence and Reff of HFMD have rebounded. The results show that the total attack rate (TAR) in 2020 was lower than the maximum, minimum, and median TAR fitted in previous years in six selected cities (except Changsha City). For the maximum, median, minimum fitted TAR, the range of RD (%) is 42·20–99·20%, 36·35–98·41% 48·35–96·23% (except Changsha City) respectively. The preventive and control measures of COVID-19 have significantly contributed to the containment of HFMD transmission.

Published in Journal of Safety Science and Resilience

ISSN: 2666-4496 (Online)
Publisher: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
Country of publisher: China
LCC subjects: Social Sciences: Industries. Land use. Labor: Management. Industrial management: Risk in industry. Risk management
Website: https://www.keaipublishing.com/en/journals/journal-of-safety-science-and-resilience/

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