Модернизация, инновация, развитие (Sep 2015)

NBIC-TECHNOLOGIES GET OVER ECONOMIC DEPRESSION

  • A. A. Akaev,
  • I. E. Anufriev

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 5, no. 2(18)
pp. 36 – 43

Abstract

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This paper is reflecting results of forecasting scenario of economic growth and shown that NBIC-technologies, due to the powerful synergetic effect generating by a mutual convergence of nano-, bio-, info- and cognitive technologies, will give strong acceleration pace of technological progress, which exceeded the rate achieved in the previous upward wave of 5th great Kondratieff ’s economic cycle (1982–2006). On the base of theUSAeconomy data, the results of forecasting shows that the rate of technological progress will increase from 2,2% in 1980 to 3,5% in the 2030 s.

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