Skilful prediction of Sahel summer rainfall on inter-annual and multi-year timescales

K. L. Sheen; D. M. Smith; N. J. Dunstone; R. Eade; D. P. Rowell; M. Vellinga

doi:10.1038/ncomms14966

Nature Communications (May 2017)

Skilful prediction of Sahel summer rainfall on inter-annual and multi-year timescales

K. L. Sheen,
D. M. Smith,
N. J. Dunstone,
R. Eade,
D. P. Rowell,
M. Vellinga

Affiliations

K. L. Sheen: Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office
D. M. Smith: Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office
N. J. Dunstone: Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office
R. Eade: Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office
D. P. Rowell: Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office
M. Vellinga: Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14966
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 8, no. 1
pp. 1 – 12

Abstract

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Summer rainfall in the agriculturally-reliant Sahel is extremely variable, with the region particularly vulnerable to major droughts. Here, the authors investigate the mechanisms that drive Sahel summer rainfall change on inter-annual and multi-year timescales and show that Sahel rainfall can be skilfully predicted.

Published in Nature Communications

ISSN: 2041-1723 (Online)
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
Country of publisher: United Kingdom
LCC subjects: Science
Website: https://www.nature.com/ncomms/

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