Rapid mapping of seismic intensity assessment using ground motion data calculated from early aftershocks selected by GIS spatial analysis

Abstract

AbstractFollowing a major earthquake, disaster information services must deliver accurate damage assessment results during the emergency ‘black box’ phase when data is scarce. Seismic intensity maps contain crucial information for determining the damage in the affected area. For earthquakes with Mw between 5.5 and 7, this study proposes using GIS analysis to mine aftershock events in early aftershock sequences that are closely related to the mainshock fault, and then using these events to generate seismic intensity assessment maps. Regression curves were first obtained using a nonparametric method (rLowess) to analyse the geographical coordinates of early aftershocks. Then, a buffer of 1 or 1.5 km radius was made for the curve, and the aftershocks in the buffer were used to calculate the predicted peak ground velocity (PGV) values over a specific km-grid range. Finally, rapid mapping of seismic intensity was assessed based on the intensity scale. This straightforward and repeatable method employs seismic station data obtained shortly after the mainshock. The assessed seismic intensity accurately reflects the location and extent of the hardest hit areas and can be cross-referenced with geophysical results to accurately assess the damage in the affected areas.

Keywords

• locally weighted regression
• GIS spatial analysis
• early aftershock sequence
• seismic intensity assessment map
• disaster information service