Combining pathological risk factors and T, N staging to optimize the assessment for risk stratification and prognostication in low-risk stage III colon cancer

Abstract

Abstract Background This study aimed to investigate the combined pathological risk factors (PRFs) to stratify low-risk (pT1-3N1) stage III colon cancer (CC), providing a basis for individualized treatment in the future. Patients and methods PRFs for low-risk stage III CC were identified using COX model. Low-risk stage III CC was risk-grouped combining with PRFs, and survival analysis were performed using Kaplan–Meier. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) databases was used for external validation. Results Nine hundred sixty-two stage III CC patients were included with 634 (65.9%) as low risk and 328 (34.1%) as high risk. Poor differentiation (OS: P = 0.048; DFS: P = 0.011), perineural invasion (OS: P = 0.003; DFS: P < 0.001) and tumor deposits (OS: P = 0.012; DFS: P = 0.003) were identified as PRFs. The prognosis of low-risk CC combined with 2 PRFs (OS: HR = 3.871, 95%CI, 2.004–7.479, P < 0.001; DFS: HR = 3.479, 95%CI, 2.158–5.610, P < 0.001) or 3 PRFs (OS: HR = 5.915, 95%CI, 1.953–17.420, P = 0.002; DFS: HR = 5.915, 95%CI, 2.623–13.335, P < 0.001) was similar to that of high-risk CC (OS: HR = 3.927, 95%CI, 2.317–6.656, P < 0.001; DFS: HR = 4.132, 95%CI, 2.858–5.974, P < 0.001). In the SEER database, 18,547 CC patients were enrolled with 10,023 (54.0%) as low risk and 8524 (46.0%) as high risk. Low-risk CC combined with 2 PRFs (OS: HR = 1.857, 95%CI, 1.613–2.139, P < 0.001) was similar to that of high-risk CC without PRFs (HR = 1.876, 95%CI, 1.731–2.033, P < 0.001). Conclusion Combined PRFs improved the risk stratification of low-risk stage III CC, which could reduce the incidence of undertreatment and guide adjuvant chemotherapy.

Keywords

• Colon cancer
• Stage III
• Pathological risk factors
• Adjuvant chemotherapy
• Prognosis