Behavioral Biases in Panic Selling: Exploring the Role of Framing during the COVID-19 Market Crisis

Abstract

Panic selling causes long-term losses and hinders investors’ return to the market. It has been explained using prospect theory aspects such as loss and regret aversion. Additionally, overconfidence and overreaction contribute to the disposition effect, leading investors to sell stocks prematurely. However, the framing effect, another disposition effect attribute, has been underexplored in the context of panic selling. This study investigates how the framing effect influences panic selling, particularly during market crises, when investors perceive information differently, depending on its positive or negative framing. Utilizing data from a collaborative survey, we examine Japanese investors’ behavior during the COVID-19 market crisis. Negative framing is negatively associated with complete or partial sale of securities, whereas positive framing has the opposite effect. During market crises, investors presented with negative framing are less likely to panic sell, whereas those presented with positive framing are more prone to it. Other significant factors include gender; men tend to engage more in panic selling. Conversely, higher education, financial literacy, and greater household income and assets are associated with a reduced likelihood of panic selling. These findings underscore the critical role of framing in investor behavior during market crises, providing new insights into the mechanisms underlying panic selling.

Keywords

• panic selling
• framing effect
• behavioral biases
• market crisis
• COVID-19
• Japan