Enhanced prediction of corrosion rates of pipeline steels using simulated annealing-optimized ANFIS models

Abstract

Accurate prediction of corrosion rates is crucial for preventing infrastructure failures, reducing maintenance costs, and ensuring operational safety. Traditional models often struggle to account for the complex, non-linear interactions between environmental factors and material properties. This study presents a novel approach integrating Simulated Annealing (SA) with an Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) to improve corrosion rate predictions for pipeline steels. The SA-ANFIS model features six input neurons representing temperature, H₂S pressure, CO₂ pressure, salinity, moisture content, and material type. These factors influence corrosion rates, represented by a single output neuron. The SA algorithm optimizes the ANFIS model's parameters, enhancing its ability to handle non-linear relationships. Historical corrosion data for P110SS, L80, and 2205 Duplex steel were used, incorporating environmental variables such as temperature, pH, and gas pressures. The SA-ANFIS model achieved superior accuracy, with a maximum error of 2.8424 % and an average error of 1.2536 %, outperforming the GA-ANFIS model and conventional ANFIS and SVR models. The SA-ANFIS model offers a robust, optimized tool for predicting corrosion in petroleum pipelines, significantly improving prediction accuracy under harsh conditions.

Keywords

• Corrosion rate prediction
• Stainless steel alloys
• Simulated annealing
• Fuzzy inference systems