Development of a risk-predicting score for hip preservation with bone grafting therapy for osteonecrosis

Abstract

Summary: Identification and differentiation of appropriate indications on hip preserving with bone grafting therapy remains a crucial challenge in the treatment of osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH). A prospective cohort study on bone grafting therapy for ONFH aimed to evaluate hip survival rates, and to establish a risk scoring derived from potential risk factors (multivariable model) for hip preservation. Eight variables were identified to be strongly correlated with a decreased rate of hip survival post-therapy, and a comprehensive risk scoring was developed for predicting hip-preservation outcomes. The C-index stood at 0.72, and the areas under the receiver operating characteristics for the risk score’s 5- and 10-year hip failure event predictions were 0.74 and 0.72, respectively. This risk score outperforms conventional methods in forecasting hip preservation. Bone grafting shows sustained benefits in treating ONFH when applied under the right indications. Furthermore, the risk scoring proves valuable as a decision-making tool, facilitating risk stratification for ONFH treatments in future.

Keywords

• Predicting model