Analysis of total monthly precipitation of Susurluk Basin in Turkey using innovative polygon trend analysis method

Abstract

The effects of climate change caused by global warming can be seen in changes of climate variables such as precipitation, humidity, and temperatures. These effects of global climate change can be interpreted as a result of the examination of meteorological parameters. One of the most effective methods to investigate these effects is trend analysis. The Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA) method is a trend analysis method that has emerged in recent years. The distinctive features of this method compared with other trend methods are that it depends on time series and can compare data series among themselves. Therefore, in this study, the IPTA method was applied to total monthly precipitation data of Susurluk Basin, one of Turkey's important basins. Data from ten precipitation observation stations in Susurluk Basin were used. Data were provided by the General Directorate of State Meteorology Affairs. The length of this data series was 12 years (2006–2017). As a result of the study, since there is no regular polygon in IPTA graphics of each station, it is seen that precipitation data varies by years. While this change is seen increasingly at some stations, it is seen decreasingly at other stations. HIGHLIGHTS Application Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis Method is for Susurluk Basin in Turkey.; Polygon trend analysis statistical values are derived.; Trend Length and Trend Slope components are identified.; The impact of climate change was investigated using innovative Polygon Trend Analysis Method.;

Keywords

• innovative polygon trend analysis (ipta)
• precipitation
• susurluk basin
• turkey