Nature Communications (Jul 2017)
Major agricultural changes required to mitigate phosphorus losses under climate change
- M. C. Ockenden,
- M. J. Hollaway,
- K. J. Beven,
- A. L. Collins,
- R. Evans,
- P. D. Falloon,
- K. J. Forber,
- K. M. Hiscock,
- R. Kahana,
- C. J. A. Macleod,
- W. Tych,
- M. L. Villamizar,
- C. Wearing,
- P. J. A. Withers,
- J. G. Zhou,
- P. A. Barker,
- S. Burke,
- J. E. Freer,
- P. J. Johnes,
- M. A. Snell,
- B. W. J. Surridge,
- P. M. Haygarth
Affiliations
- M. C. Ockenden
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- M. J. Hollaway
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- K. J. Beven
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- A. L. Collins
- Rothamsted Research North Wyke
- R. Evans
- Global Sustainability Institute, Anglia Ruskin University
- P. D. Falloon
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- K. J. Forber
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- K. M. Hiscock
- University of East Anglia
- R. Kahana
- Met Office Hadley Centre
- C. J. A. Macleod
- James Hutton Institute
- W. Tych
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- M. L. Villamizar
- School of Engineering, Liverpool University
- C. Wearing
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- P. J. A. Withers
- Bangor University, Bangor
- J. G. Zhou
- School of Computing, Mathematics & Digital Technology, Manchester Metropolitan University
- P. A. Barker
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- S. Burke
- British Geological Survey
- J. E. Freer
- School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol
- P. J. Johnes
- School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol
- M. A. Snell
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- B. W. J. Surridge
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- P. M. Haygarth
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-00232-0
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 8,
no. 1
pp. 1 – 9
Abstract
The impact of climate change on phosphorus (P) loss from land to water is unclear. Here, the authors use P flux data, climate simulations and P transfer models to show that only large scale agricultural change will limit the effect of climate change on average winter P loads in three catchments across the UK.