DEVELOPMENT OF MODELS FOR DETERMINING THE TRAFFIC VOLUME FOR THE ANALYSIS OF ROADS EFFICIENCY

Abstract

The article presents different methods of estimating DHV, including traditional Factor Approach, developed Regression Models and Artificial Neural Networks models. As explanatory variables: quantitative variables (AADT and the share of heavy vehicles) as well as qualitative variables (the cross-section, roads class, nature of the area, the profile of seasonal variations, region of Poland and the nature of traffic patterns) were used. In addition, the results of preliminary analyses of the DHV estimates based on the maximum hourly volume derived from a few hours traffic measurement on weekdays where there is the greatest share of hours with the highest traffic volume in the year were presented. On the basis of comparisons of the presented methods, Multiple Regression Model was identified as the most useful.

Keywords

• roads
• design hourly volume (DHV)
• multiple regression
• artificial neural networks
• automatic traffic recorder (ATR)