Kidney International Reports (Feb 2021)

Comparison of Circulating Biomarkers in Predicting Diabetic Kidney Disease Progression With Autoantibodies to Erythropoietin Receptor

  • Megumi Oshima,
  • Akinori Hara,
  • Tadashi Toyama,
  • Min Jun,
  • Carol Pollock,
  • Meg Jardine,
  • Stephen Harrap,
  • Neil Poulter,
  • Mark E. Cooper,
  • Mark Woodward,
  • John Chalmers,
  • Vlado Perkovic,
  • Muh Geot Wong,
  • Takashi Wada

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 6, no. 2
pp. 284 – 295

Abstract

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Introduction: Several circulating markers, including autoantibodies to erythropoietin receptor (anti-EPOR antibodies), have been identified as useful biomarkers in predicting diabetic kidney disease progression. However, a direct comparison of their utility is lacking. We aimed to validate and to compare the prognostic value of anti-EPOR antibodies with that of other known biomarkers, using the ADVANCE trial and its long-term follow-up, ADVANCE-ON, cohorts. Methods: In this nested case-control study from the ADVANCE trial cohort, we included 165 case participants who had the composite kidney outcome (renal replacement therapy, renal death, or doubling of serum creatinine to ≥200 μmol/l) and 330 matched controls. We compared the associations of baseline plasma levels of anti-EPOR antibodies, tumor necrosis factor receptor (TNFR)-1 and -2, and bone morphogenetic protein (BMP)-7 with kidney outcomes. Results: Cases had higher baseline plasma levels of anti-EPOR antibodies than controls (median 1.7 vs. 0.6 enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay unit, P < 0.001). Higher levels of anti-EPOR antibodies were associated with an increased risk of kidney outcome (odds ratio 2.16 [95% confidence interval 1.51, 3.08], per 1 SD of log-transformed levels) after adjusting for conventional markers. Elevated circulating TNFR1 and TNFR2 levels, and lower BMP-7 levels at baseline, were associated with poor kidney outcome (odds ratios 2.06 [1.29, 3.30], 1.66 [1.13, 2.43], and 0.45 [0.32, 0.65], respectively). The addition of anti-EPOR antibodies into the model improved the prediction of kidney outcome, regardless of other biomarkers. Conclusion: Anti-EPOR antibodies provide a promising biomarker, as with TNFR1, TNFR2, and BMP-7, in predicting kidney disease progression in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

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